NFL Prop Board

Game Pick Last 10 Avg

Score formula

Hit rate Share of the last 10 games that landed on the pick's side of the line.

Matchup Opponent's rank against that position (1 toughest, 32 softest). Flips for Unders.

Line value How far his recent average sits past the line. Touchdowns compare hit rate to the chance the odds imply.

Sample size Games played out of the last 10, so missed games lower confidence.

Apply injury boosts (scales past games for Overs and Unders)

A boost raises a player's expected volume when a teammate is Out or Doubtful. It assumes that teammate really is out, so confirm at gametime. Turn this off to see scores without it.

Tiers: Strong 80+ · Lean 65–79 · Pass under 65

Tweaks here change this view only. Tell me the mix you like and I'll build it in.